Dr Gary Polhill
Gary Polhill did a degree in Artificial Intelligence and a PhD in Neural Networks before spending 18 months in industry as a professional programmer. Since 1997 he has been working at the Macaulay Institute on agent-based modelling of human-natural systems.Research Interests
His work has been primarily focused on the FEARLUS agent-based model of land-use change and associated projects. He is interested in complex systems, social dilemmas, coupled human-natural systems modelling, semantic grid tools for facilitating and describing social simulations, and best practice in agent-based modelling, programming and design.Journal, Refereed paper | Reviewed paper | Conference paper | Conference poster/ abstract | Technical/ contract reports | Books/ chapters/ theses | Oral presentations |
Gary’s highlighted publications
- Supporting simulations on the grid using workflows and virtual machines., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Polhill, G., (2009) UK s-Science All Hands Meeting 2009: Past, Present and Future, 5th IEEE International Conference, Oxford, UK, 7 - 9 December 2009.
Journal, Refereed paper
- Size matters: large-scale replications of experiments with FEARLUS., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (In press) Advances in Complex Systems, Special issue of revised papers from ESSA 2009.
- Using qualitative evidence to enhance an agent-based modelling system for studying land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Sutherland, L.A.; Gotts, N.M., (2010) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 13(2)
- e-Social science and evidence-based policy assessment: challenges and solutions., Edwards, P.; Farrington, J.; Mellish, C.; Philip, L.; Chorley, A.H.; Hielkema, F.; Pignotti, E.; Reid, R.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2009) Social Science Computer Review, 27, 553-568.
- When and how to imitate your neighbours: lessons from and for FEARLUS., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2009) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 12(3), 2.
- Ontologies for transparent integrated human-natural system modelling., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2009) Landscape Ecology, 24, 1255-1267.
- Using the ODD protocol for comparing three agent-based social simulation models of land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Parker, D. C.; Brown, D.G.; Grimm, V., (2008) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(2), 3.
- Progress in model-to-model analysis., Rouchier, J.; Cioffi-Revilla, C.; Polhill, J.G.; Takadama, K., (2008) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(2), 8.
- Transient and asymptotic dynamics of reinforcement learning in games., Izquierdo, L.R.; Izquierdo, S.S.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2007) Games and Economic Behavior, 61, 259-276.
- Agent-based land use models: a review of applications., Matthews, R.B.; Gilbert, N.; Roach, A.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2007) Landscape Ecology, 22, 1447-1459.
- Open access for social simulation., Polhill, J.G.; Edmonds, B., (2007) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 10(3), 10.
- A semantic grid service for experimentation with an agent-based model of land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Pignotti, E.; Gotts, N.M.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A., (2007) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 10(2), 2.
- Is your model susceptible to floating-point errors?, Izquierdo, L.R.; Polhill, J.G., (2006) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 9(4), 4.
- What every agent-based modeller should know about floating point arithmetic., Polhill, J.G.; Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M., (2006) Environmental Modelling and Software, 21, 283-309.
- Lessons learned from converting the Artificial Stock Market to interval arithmetic., Polhill, J.G.; Izquierdo, L.R., (2005) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 8(2), 2.
- The ghost in the model (and other effects of floating point arithmetic)., Polhill, J.G.; Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M., (2005) Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 8(1), 5.
- Case-based reasoning, social dilemmas, and a new equilibrium concept., Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2004) The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 7(3), U143-U174
- Agent-based simulation in the study of social dilemmas., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Law, A.N.R., (2003) Artificial Intelligence Review, 19, 3-92.
- Aspiration levels in a land use simulation., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Law, A.N.R., (2003) Cybernetics and Systems, 34, 663-683.
- An approach to guaranteeing generalisation in neural networks., Polhill, G., and Weir, M.K., (2001) Neural Networks, 14, 1035-1048.
- Imitative versus nonimitative strategies in a land-use simulation., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Law, A.N.R., (2001) Cybernetics and Systems, 32, 285-307.
Reviewed paper
- EVO-2x2: a modelling framework to study the evolution of strategies in 2x2 symmetric games under various competing assumptions., Izquierdo, L.R.; Izquierdo, S.S.; Polhill, J.G., (2006) Proceedings of the First World Congress on Social Simulation, Kyoto, Japan, Vol. 2, 273-280.
- Is your model susceptible to floating point errors? - and if so... does it really matter?, Izquierdo, L.R.; Polhill, J.G., (2005) In: Representing Social Reality, (ed. Klaus G. Troitzsch). European Simulation Association, 3rd Annual Conference, Koblenz, Germany 5-9 September 2005, pp345-355.
- Lessons learned from converting the artificial stock market to interval arithmetic., Polhill, J.G.; Izquierdo, L.R., (2004) European Social Simulation Association, 2nd Annual Conference, Valladolid, Spain, 2004.
Conference papers
- Adaptive control of landscape biodiversity., Polhill, J.G.; Jarvis, A.; Gimona, A.; Gotts, N.M., (In press) Modelling for Environmnet's Sake, International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 5th-8th July, 2010.
- Analysis of incentive schemes for biodiversity using a coupled agent-based model of land use change and species metacommunity model., Polhill, J.G.; Gimona, A.; Gotts, N.M., (2010) Modelling for Environment's Sake. International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 5th-8th July 2010.
- Size matters: Results from large-scale replications of experiments with FEARLUS., Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2009) European Social Simulation Association (ESSA), 6th Conference, University of Surrey, Guildford, 14th -18th September 2009. On cd-rom.
- Handling space and time in an ontology-based integrated action modeling arena., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2008) ABS2, Agent-Based Spatial Simulation International Workshop, ISC-PIF, Paris, France, 24-25 November 2008.
- An OWL (Web Ontology Language) representation of the MR POTATOHEAD agent-based land-use change meta-model., Parker, D.; Polhill, G.; Mussavi, M., (2008) Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts, 15-19 April, 2008.
- A semantic workflow mechanism to realise experimental goals and constraints., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Preece, A., (2008) The 3rd Workshop on Workflows in Support of Large-Scale Science in conjunction with SC'08, Austin, Texas, 17th November 2008.
- Enhancing workflow with semantic descriptions of scientific intent., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2008) The Semantic Web: Research and Applications, 5th European Semantic Web Conference, Tenerife, Spain, 1-5 June 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 5021, pp644-658.
- A model for exploring human-natural system interactions in the context of agricultural biodiversity., Polhill, G.; Gimona, A.; Davies, B.; Gotts, N.M.; McCracken, D.; Catalan, A.; Dury, G.; Decorps, D., (2008) European Social Simulation Association Conference, 5th, Brescia, Italy, September 2008.
- A stylised model of the influence of land use decisions on landscape and biodiversity patterns formation., Gimona, A.; Polhill, G.; Davies, B.; Catalan, A.; Dury, G.; Teil, A., (2007) British Ecological Society General Meeting, University of Glasgow, 10-12 September 2007.
- Using Collective Rewards and Social Interactions to Control Agricultural Pollution: Explorations with FEARLUS-W., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2007) In: Interdisciplinary approaches to the simulation of social phenomena. (ed. F. Amblard). Conference of the European Social Simulation, Association, 4th, Toulouse, France, 10th-14th September 2007, pp253-262.
- Semantic workflow management for eSocial Science., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2007) Third International Conference on e-Social Science, Ann Arbor, Michigan, US, 7-9 October 2007.
- Evaluating a prototype self-description feature in an agent-based model of land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2007) In: Interdisciplinary approaches to the simulation of social phenomena. (ed. F. Amblard). Conference of the European Social Simulation, Association, 4th, Toulouse, France, 10th-14th September 2007, pp711-718
- Using the ODD protocol for comparing three agent-based social simulation models of land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Parker, D.C.; Brown, D.G.; Grimm, V., (2007) In: Rouchier, J., Cioffi-Revilla, C., Polhill, G. and Takadama, K. (eds.) M2M 2007, International Model-to-Model Workshop, 3rd, Marseille, France 15-16 March 2007, pp140-164.
- Simulating socio-techno-ecosystems., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2006) Proceedings of the First World Congress on Social Simulation, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21-25 August 2006, Vol 1. pp119-126.
- Narrative scenarios, mediating formalisms, and the agent-based simulation of land use change., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2006) Conference on Epistemological Perspectives on Simulation (EPOS06), 2nd, Brescia, Italy, 5th-6th October 2006.
- A new approach to modelling frameworks., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2006) Proceedings of the First World Congress on Social Simulation, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, 21-25 August 2006, Vol 1. pp215-222.
- Lessons learnt from deployment of a social simulation tool to the semantic grid., Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Pignotti, E.; Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2005) Proceedings of the First International Conference on eSocial Science, NCeSS/ESRC, Manchester, 22-24 June 2005.
- Social dilemmas: What if not everybody knows that everybody knows that everybody is rational?, Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Edmonds, B., (2005) Working Paper Series,12, Graduate School of Business, Manchester Metropolitan University.
- Integrating agent-based social models and biophysical models., Matthews, R.B.; Polhill, J.G.; Gilbert, N.; Roach, A.,, (2005) Proceedings, MODSIM Conference, Melbourne, Australia, 9-12 December, 2005.
- Semantic support for computational land-use modelling., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2005) Proceedings of the Fifth IEEE International Symposium on Cluster Computing and Grid (CCGrid), Cardiff, 9-12 May 2005, IEEE Press.
- Providing ontology support for social simulation., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2005) Proceedings of the First International Conference on e-Social Science, NCeSS/ESRC, Manchester, 22nd -24th June 2005.
- An ontology for experimentation with a social simulation of land use change., Polhill, J.G., Pignotti, E., Gotts, N.M., Edwards, P. and Preece, A., (2005) In: Representing Social Reality, (ed. Klaus G. Troitzsch). European Simulation Association, 3rd Annual Conference, Koblenz, Germany 5-9 September 2005, pp324-330.
- Introducing land markets to an agent based model of land use change: a design., Polhill, J.G.; Parker, D.C.; Gotts, N.M., (2005) European Simulation Association, 3rd Annual Conference, Koblenz, Germany.
- FEARLUS-G: a semantic grid service for land use modelling., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Preece, A.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2004) International Workshop on Semantic Intelligent Middleware for the Web and the Grid, Valencia, Spain, 23rd-24th August, 2004.
- Dynamics of imitation in a land use simulation., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Law, A.N.R.; Izquierdo, L.R., (2003) In: Proceedings of International Symposium on Imitation in Animals and Artefacts, 2nd, University of Wales, Aberystwyth, 7th-11th April 2003, pp39-46.
- Case-based reasoning and social dilemmas: an agent-based simulation., Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2003) European Social Simulation Association, SIMSOC VI Workshop.
- The ghost in the model and other effects of floating point arithmetic., Polhill, J.G.; Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M., (2003) European Social Simulation Association, SIMSOC VI Workshop.
- Combining object-orientated programming and relational databases for multi-scale spatially integrated agent-based models., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Law, A.N.R., (2002) Biennial Meeting of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (IEMSs 2002), University of Lugano, Switzerland, 24th-27th June 2002. pp251-256.
- Modeling land-use change using agents in the FEARLUS project., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Law, A.N.R., (2002) In: Agent-Based Models of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: Report and Review of an International Workshop (ed. D.C. Parker, T. Berger, S. M. Manson, W. J. McConnell). Irvine, California, USA, October 4-7 2001. LUCC Report Series No. 6. pp35-40.
- FEARLUS: an agent-based model of land use change., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Law, A.N.R., (2001) National Academy of Sciences Arthur M Sackler Colloquium on Adaptive Agents, Intelligence and Emergent Human Organization: Capturing Complexity Through Agent-Based Modeling.
Conference poster/abstract
- Lessons learned and prospects for agent-based modelling of land use effects on ecosystem processes and services., Aspinall, R.; Polhill, G., (2009) GLP Symposium on Agent Based Modelling of Land Use Effects on Ecosystem Processes and Services, US-IALE Symposium, Snowbird, Utah, 12th-16th April 2009.
- Informing the development of measures to address lowland biodiversity concerns., Long, D.; Hawes, C.; McCracken, D.; Polhill, G.; Gimona, A., (2009) Science-Policy-Success. Knowledge Scotland Conference and Workshop, Our Dynamic Earth, Edinburgh, 7th-8th October 2009.
- Supporting simulations on the grid using workflows and virtual machines., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Polhill, G., (2009) UK s-Science All Hands Meeting 2009: Past, Present and Future, 5th IEEE International Conference, Oxford, UK, 7 - 9 December 2009.
- Supporting distributed simulation experiments on the eScience infrastructure., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2009) UK s-Science All Hands Meeting 2009: Past, Present and Future, 5th IEEE International Conference, Oxford, UK, 7th - 9th December 2009.
- Using a virtual machine environment to support simulation on the grid., Pignotti, E; Polhill,G.; Edwards, P., (2009) European Social Simulation Association, (ESSA), 6th Conference, University of Surrey, Guildford, 14-18 September 2009.
- An introduction to agent-based modelling of coupled human-natural systems., Polhill, G.; Parker, D., (2009) GLP Symposium on Agent Based Modelling of Land Use Effects on Ecosystem Processes and Services, US-IALE Symposium, Snowbird, Utah, 12th-16th April 2009.
- MR POTATOHEAD goes onto OWL: An ontological rendition of agent-based models of land use and cover change., Mussavi Rizi, S.; Parker, D.; Polhill, G., (2008) World Congress on Social Simulation 2008 (WCSS-08), George Mason University, Fairfax, July 14-17, 2008.
- Semantic workflow management for social simulation., Pignotti, E.; Edwards, P.; Polhill, G.; Gotts, N.M., (2008) UK e-Science All hands Meeting, Edinburgh, 8-11 September 2008.
- Modelling the response of socio-ecological systems to changing land use policies: coupling metapopulations and agent-based approaches., Davies, B.; Polhill, G.; Gimona, A.; Catalan, A.; Izquierdo, L., (2007) ESEE 2007 Integrating Natural and Social Sciences for Sustainability: 7th International Conference of the European Society for Ecological Economics, UFZ - Centre for Environmental Research in Leipzig, Germany, 5-8 June 2007.
- Modelling the influences of policy and land management decisions on biodiversity: Considerations for coupling models., Polhill, J.G.; Gimona, A.; Davies, B.; Catalan, A., (2007) In: Framing Land Use Dynamics II. International Conference (ed. E. Addink, A. Barendregt, D. Ettema, D. Karssenberg, and T. de Nijs) 18-20 April 2007, Utrecht University, The Netherlands, pp153-154.
- Exploring environmental policy with coupled natural and human system modelling., Polhill, J.G.; Gimona, A.; McCracken, D.; Davies, B., (2007) Making Scotland's Rural Environment More Sustainable, Royal Society of Edinburgh, 25th June 2007.
- Using social interactions in the control of diffuse agricultural pollution: modelling with FEARLUS-W., Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2007) C2007: 2007 Annual International Conference at the Royal Geographical Society with IBG, London, 29th-31st August 2007.
- Integrating agent-based social simulation and biodiversity modelling., Gimona, A.; Polhill, G.; Izquierdo, L.; Davies, B., (2006) British Ecological Society, General Meeting, Oxford, September 2006.
- Do land markets matter? Preliminary results from the ELMM model., Parker, D.C.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M., (2006) The Association of American Geographers Meeting, "Perspectives on Geographic Complexity 2: Institutions, Markets and Policy", Chicago, Illinois, 7-11 March 2006.
- Using ontologies with case studies: an end-user perspective on OWL., Polhill, J.G.; Ziervogel, G., (2006) National Centre for e-Social Science Annual Conference 2006, Manchester, UK.
- Designs for coupling an agent-based model of land use change with a spatially-explicit hydrochemical model., Polhill, J.G.; Koo, B.; Izquierdo, L.R.; Dunn, S.; Gotts, N.M.; Rothman, D.S.; Ferrier, R.C., (2004) LUCC/EFEIA/WOTRO Joint International Workshop. Integrated assessment of the land system: The future of land use. Institute for Environmental Studies, Amsterdam, 28-30 October 2004.
- Simulation and analysis in agent-based modelling of land use change., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Adam, W.J., (2003) First Conference of the European Social Simulation Association, SIMSOC VI Workshop.
- FEARLUS - W: an agent-based model of river basin land use and water management., Izquierdo, L.R.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2003) In: Framing Land Use Dynamics, (M. Dijst, P. Schot and K. de Jong). Reviewed abstracts International Conference, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands, 16th-18th April 2003. pp163-165.
- Land use change - a challenge for integrated modelling., Aalders, I.H.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, G.; Law, A.; Birnie, R.V.; Aspinall, R.J., (2001) Challenges of a Changing Earth, Global Change Open Science Conference (IGBP), Amsterdam, 10-13 July 2001.
Technical/contract reports
- CAVES: Complexity, agents, volatility, evidence and scale., Sutherland, L.A.; Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2006) Grampian Region Field Research Report. CAVES EU F6 Project.
- Development of a rural economy and land use simulation modelling strategy., Matthews, R.B.; Gilbert, N.; Roach, A.; Polhill, J.G.; Gotts, N.M.; Izquierdo, L.R., (2005) Final Project Report of RELU Development Activity RES-224-25-0102, Macaulay Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen AB158QH, UK.
Books/chapters/theses
- Sinks, sustainability and conservation incentives., Gimona, A.; Polhill, G.; Davies, B., (In press) In: Sources, Sinks and Sustainability (Liu, J., Hull, V., Morzillo, A., and Wiens, J). Cambridge University Press.
- Narrative scenarios, mediating formalisms, and the agent-based simulation of land use change., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G., (2009) Epistemological Aspects of Computer Simulation in the Social Sciences, Proceedings from 2nd International Workshop on Epistemological Perspectives on Simulation (EPOS), Brescia, Italy, 4-5 October 2006. Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 5466, 99-116.
- Agent-based modelling of socio-economic processes related to the environment: Example of land-use change., Polhill, J.G., (2009) In: Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy-making, (ed. P. Baveye, P.; Mysiak, J.; Laba, M.) NATO Science for Peace and Security Series - C - Environmental Security, Springer, pp61-76. ISBN 978-90-481-2634 Available online.
- Illustrating a new "conceptual design pattern" for agent-based models of land use via five case studies - the MR POTATOHEAD framework, Parker, D.C.; Brown, D.G.; Polhill, J.G.; Deadman, P.J.; Manson, S.M., (2008) In: Agent-Based Modelling in Natural Resource Management (ed. A. Lopez Paredes and I. Hernandez). INSISOC, Valladolid, Spain, pp.23-51.
- Effects of land markets on competition between innovators and imitators in land use: results from FEARLUS-ELMM., Polhill, J.G.; Parker, D.C.; Gotts, N.M., (2007) In: Social Simulation: Technologies, Advances and New Discoveries (ed. Edmonds, B., Hernandez Iglesias, C., and Troitzsch, K. G.), Chapter 7, Idea Group Inc. Ch. 7, pp81-97.
Oral Presentations
- Agent based modelling in GILDED and at Macaulay land Use Research Institute., Gotts, N.M.; Polhill, J.G.; Gimona, A.; Davies, B.; Matthews, R., (2009) University of Groningen, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Institute of Political Science, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, University of South Bohemia, 6th July -13th July 2009.
- Assessment of potential biodiversity impacts of future policy changes: Identifying and prioritising future scenarios., Polhill, G.; Gimona, A.; McCracken, D., (2009) Biodiversity Consultative Group Meeting, Consultation Room 9, Victoria Quay, Leith, Edinburgh, 10 March 2009.
- Ontologies for agent-based modelling., Polhill, J.G., (2009) Center for Social Complexity, Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study, George Mason University Seminar, Friday 17th April 2009.
- Agent-based modelling of socio-economic processes related to the environment: Example of land-use change., Polhill, J.G., (2008) Uncertainties in environmental modelling and consequences for policy-making, NATO Advanced Study Institute, 1-11 October 2008.
